As we all know, “stay the course” is an election catch phrase, not a viable solution. Since redeployment seems all but certain, given that it appears highly unlikely that 300,000 troops are going to be added or even 150,000 due to President Bush not actually being serious about winning in Iraq (nation building as he said was never his goal), not to mention our military not having the boots to do this anyway, It’s time to start looking at what may happen in Iraq:
"BAGHDAD, Oct. 11 – Parliament on Wednesday approved a controversial law that will allow Iraq to be carved into a federation of autonomous regions, after Sunni Arabs and some Shiite Muslims stormed out of the session in protest.
The bill passed the 275-member parliament by a vote of 141 to 0, despite a nearly successful attempt by opponents to prevent a quorum by walking out, said Mohanned Abdul Jabbar, an aide to parliament speaker Mahmoud al-Mashhadani.
The measure, introduced by a powerful Shiite group last month, creates a mechanism that many believe will lead to a predominantly Shiite zone in southern Iraq that would parallel the semiautonomous Kurdish region in the north. Sunnis vehemently oppose such a division, which would leave them with an area in central Iraq that lacks the vast oil wealth of the north and south.
Under a compromise worked out two weeks ago, the bill includes a provision that prevents the formation of federal regions for 18 months. In exchange for that delay and the creation of a panel to review the constitution, the Sunnis agreed to call off a boycott that had prevented the federalism bill from being introduced.
Although the principle of federalism is enshrined in the constitution, the law passed by parliament is the first to set up a system that will allow provinces in 2008 to merge into autonomous regions."
Given that…you can see “staying the course” just ain’t happening. I’ll bet the Baker group recognizes this reality and suggests some kind of redeployment of troops, of course not till after November.
Now that the neocon ideology has been utterly debunked in every regard as it pertains to Iraq(how is Bill Kristol still allowed on TV?) Will realism again prevail?