[quote]Mark Young wrote:
I have rarely heard such drivel anywhere. If Walmart closes who is going to replace the jobs that are lost? I haven’t seen anyone talk about the disproportionate share of employees Walmart hires that are elderly, insured by Medicare and work at Walmart simply to supplement their income or because they want to work. What will they do when Walmart starts further mechanizing their supply chain. Doubt it will happen? I carry no brief for Wal-Mart – I don’t own its stock, I will always go to Target given the choice, and I am not unmindful of the impact that it has had on small towns across America (pro and con) – but there are several virtually inevitable consequences of this legislation that will not work out well for Maryland’s workers. When they unfold, there will be nobody to blame but the Democrats and “labor and liberal groups” of Maryland. Since, according to the Times, the Maryland law is considered to be an important precedent that “labor and liberal groups” hope to enact in other states, expect these consequences to compound with the reproduction of the Maryland law elsewhere.
First, this is a significant incremental tax on the wages Wal-Mart pays. What happens when you tax something? You get less of it. Wal-Mart has a new and powerful incentive to keep wages down, because it will pay this new tax on any wage increase in the state. What’s the best way to keep wages down? Find ways to do without the employee at all.
Second, by increasing the payroll tax on Wal-Mart, Maryland has increased the rate of return (and therefore lowered the investment hurdle) on strategies to shift labor expenses to employers with, er, fewer than 10,000 employees in the state. Who might these employers be? Wal-Mart’s vendors, meathead (meathead being a generic term to describe the Maryland legislators who voted for this law). The Wal-Mart dream is to put little RF tags into every product. That way, people can just wander around filling up their cart, and when they leave they walk under a scanner that dings their credit or debit card. You get the vendors to stock the shelves, and then you fire all the employees except for a couple of security guards. Wal-Mart will have reached its apotheosis as a logistics system. The day is coming, but the speed with which it comes depends on two things, really: the costs of RF tags, and the costs of labor. If the first goes down enough and the second goes up enough, it will be more lucrative for Wal-Mart to get to the future faster.
Third, this tax amounts to a new subsidy to the health care system, and reduces the incentive for the state’s largest employer to control health benefit costs (at least up to 8% of payroll). This will have the tendency to push up health care costs throughout the system – why should hospitals and doctors cut their fees if Wal-Mart’s benefits administrator is no longer motivated to beat up on them? Without Wal-Mart’s bargaining power, smaller employers are likely to face at least some incremental cost-push from providers.
If I were an economist, I could probably think of other problems with this law. Unfortunately, I am a mere corporate tool, armed with nothing but common sense.
Can’t get a job anywhere but Walmart because you didn’t pay enough attention to your education or you are waiting for the worker’s paradise to arrive? You just shoved the only job you were qualified to do out of your state or helped decrease the ROI to mechanizing into being an attractive alternative so that Walmart stays in the state but decreases its employee base by optimizing its supply chain and labor costs.
Welcome to the unemployment line. Now, say again who is evil? Goverment can cause you to lose your job but is not likely to supply you with one. [/quote]
Very, very good post!