2) Women and Hispanics.
Which Candidate has the most support from these blocks? (To me its still unclear).[/quote]
[i]The new numbers from Zogby: Obama 47%, McCain 40%, beyond the Â±3.1% margin of error. This is on top of the CBS/NYT and ABC/WaPo polls, which respectively gave Obama a six-point and eight-point lead.
The internals also have a very surprising, and not entirely believable, number: Obama leads among Hispanics by an astonishing 71%-19% margin.
Late Update: Make that four polls, with the Quinnipiac survey giving Obama a nine-point lead.[/i]
71% over McCain’s 19% in the hispanic block. That seems impossible but even if its closer I’d imagine he has the lead.
[quote]3) The Vice Presidential Choice?
How important will it be?[/quote]
The VP gives McCain the chance to address his selfconfessed economic weaknesses, and it gives Obama the chance to tackle his experience/national security problems. I would have thought Wesley Clark was a front runner in the Obama camp until he launched a personal campaign to end his political life.
I think McCain takes Romney for the economic boost to the ticket.
I would assume Obama takes a swing state Dem, Ohio’s Governor is a dem (Strickland), maybe Obama will get him to get the voting boost in that swing state? Or he could aim for those with greater name recognition & resume - Richardson, maybe Biden. Anyone that gives him the ticket a little experience.