The upcoming heavy weight title fight with Champion Cain Velasquez trying to fend of Junior Dos Santos is approaching on Saturday, October 19.
The thing that really got me to start this thread, and hopefully some discussion, is the circumstances of their previous 2 fights. JDS the first time sensationally KOed Cain at the one minute mark, and revealed afterwards that he was afraid to fight Cain because he had torn the meniscus in his left knee during training, and decided to be super motivated to end the affair as quickly as possible, despite risk. The fight was the first Free UFC event on FOX network television to promote the sport and Junior didn’t want to let everyone down, I suppose including himself, by pulling out of it.
Velasquez after their second tilt claimed that he had torn the ACL in his left knee during training, had the same not let them down feeling as Junior, didn’t push forward as fast as he did for the second fight, and didn’t go public with it originally because he didn’t want to claim an excuse for losing, which is noble of him.
For the second joust at it, Cain pummelled Junior terrifically, and Junior just didn’t want to give up, again noble on his part. Junior afterwards said that during his post fight hospital check up that his creatine was over 1000, (not an area of my expertise) and that he simply overtrained for the fight. What I am getting at here is that I viewed a video interview of him with Ariel Helwani recently and he didn’t mention anything about that, so I wonder how much stock one can put into saying it wasn’t the real Junior that night, just like it wasn’t the real Cain during the first fight.
It is true that JDS finished off Mark Hunt in almost 15 minutes, got the knockdown with a hit behind the ear, which he likely wanted to showcase he can still do. He also in the second round took Hunt down and kept him there for a little while. then the 3rd round hook/wheel kick combination KO.
Still, Cain showcased in the second fight an overhand shot that he trained with the help of a respected boxing coach (I forget who) that rocked Junior early and Junior was never really in the fight. Cain said recently that when JDS expects strikes, there will be takedowns, and vice versa.
Some had said a few months ago that the odds are 60/40 Cain retains the belt. I am beginning to think that junior’s skills might be well nullified by Cain, that is a kick attempt will get Junior taken down (ask Antonio Silva) and a takedown will be readily reversed. The boxing by itself might not be such an advantage for JDS as it once was. So, as much as I would like to see Junior win, I suspect Velasquez will be champion for some time.
Wile I am at it, will it be finny if Overeem gets beaten again? His UFC premiering win over Brock Lesnar may have been helped by a high testosterone level, so when does he get a legitimate win in the big pond?