John Fitch is the second best Welterweight in the division. He's beaten Alves (twice), Thiago, Sanchez, Saunders, Pierce, Gono, Wilson and just about everyone that he's faced in MMA. With a fight record of 23-3 he has one of the best win/loss ratio's of any active fighter at that level. He's also a large Welterweight at 6'0. To think that BJ Penn (16-7-1) is going to move up from recently getting destroyed by Edgar, (twice), who is a small lightweight, and defeat Fitch is absolutely ludicrous!
Fitch has 3" in height, a much larger reach, greater stamina and will be relentless in his pursuit once the fight starts. Those who have follwed his career know that he is not an exciting fighter but he gets the job done. And that is what will be needed when he faces BJ Penn. I doubt this will be an eventful match but it will be one that is won by John Fitch. To think anything else is just wishful thinking.
While Penn is most definitely a talented fighter he has been perpetually hyped by Rogan and company since the day he set foot in the octagon. As you all know the UFC tends to do this with certain fighters, Michael Bisping being another example. Not that I am comparing Penn to Bisping skill wise, not at all.
The fact that he trained with Matt Hughes for four weeks won't play into the equation. Penn already has great takedown defense, I doubt Hughes added that much. If anything fighters always go back to what they know best when in pressure situations. As for the rest of what he may learn from Hughes in four weeks it won't be enough to make a difference.
Those who think Penn will win are in for a wake-up call early in the fight. My prediction is that John Fitch will win a unanamous decision, or perhaps maybe even a stoppage.
With all of that said keep in mind that I am on a three fight wrong call losing streak