Cro Cop was, at his prime, a monster. I'm still a big, big fan, but his last good fight was in 2006.
As already said, he HAS lost his edge. His aggression is gone. You need aggression if you step into a cage with well-trained combat athletes and fight a fight that's build around a knockdown.
Thankfully, Mir isn't an aggressive wrestler who forces Mirko to be extra cautious with his sprawl.
Also, Mir's hands are not as good as the UFC and Mir's ego wants everybody to believe. Crocop is on a completely different level here.
The fight will either go like this: Mir comes out strong, throws a few hands, tries a sloppy takedown, Cropcop does too little and backs off, all the while Mir is getting more confident. Mir then gets a takedown in round two, surfs a bit and can play defensive in the third to secure a UD. Crocop probably won't catch him then - he rarely lucky nowadays if he's backpedaling.
If Crocop estabishes some kind of dominance , probably via counter in the first, he might have a chance if he softens Mir up with a lowkick or two. If Mir survives that round, he WILL try hard to TD & clinch in the second & third, while Crocop will play very safe and punch & sprawl to a not so exciting UD.
So it comes down to early dominance. Both fighter have their will shattered easily in that time of their career. They have to taste blood.
I'll still pray to Hercules for a miracle left high kick, though;)
Bader, by GNP, it will not be pretty, the Minotaur should have retired already
Dunham - Sherk,: no idea
the young assassin through tko, 80% chance in the 1st- or submission in the 2nd or 3rd for Stephens