I had this up on my blog a few days ago and think that it might be a good idea to put it up here as well. Here it goes:
"This is not an eco-fascist fear statement, but the end of our comfortable advanced industrial civilization is nearing us. What I have to tell, might be a lot to read, but you can't learn if you are not willing to read, right?
This following is my synopsis of the first 21 pages of the book called THE OIL AGE IS OVER' by Matt Savinar. Whether you choose to believe his facts which are based on several scientists and economists or not is your choice and whether it will happen as predicted in the book or not, it doesn't hurt to be prepared. If skeptic, make your own research on google. If you don't trust the world wide web, get a hold of some books addressing this issue.
From the first time in 1895, commercial oil was drilled to now (150 years later), we have used up to half the world's recoverable oil. So yeah, you might think: "So what, we will have 150 years more to go. Until we can figure out what to do".
If you think the world's population in 150 years will be equal of that in 150 years ago, you might not know much about the rapid growth of world population.
Optimistically calculated, 2020-2035 will be the years in which worldwide oil production peaks. The more realistic estimation, however, is between now and 10 years.
By 2015, we will need to find a new oil resources that equal at least 80% of what is produced today. The most promising prospects are due to locations, hard to reach - some regions lack even basic infrastructure or the Arctic which present extraordinary challenges.
The curve of oil production resembles a shape of a bell. Production of oil peaks due to demands; and it declines after the oil peaks due to finite resources (think the shape of a bell) Like domino effect, the more demand for oil exceeds production of oil, the higher the price. The higher the price, the more dislocations world economy suffers, the more wars after resources the population endures. HINT: Wars on 'TERROR'
To make matters worse, much of the oil, half way after the peak (the left side of the bell curve) may not even be energetically recoverable since it takes energy to extract energy.
The ratio (EROEI - Energy Return on Ener Invested) used to be about 30 to 1, but it had fallen to 5 to 1 and is estimated to be 1 to 1 in a few years which means at that point, it will be no use for us as an energy source.
This also is referred to all other forms of energy from solar panels, wind turbines to nuclear power plants since their construction and maintenance require a significant amount of energy. Therefore, once the ratio hits 1 to 1, we will be out of energy forever and it will happen.
Petrochemicals and fossil fuel energy are not needed only for our car, but for powering everything our way of life is depended on including our basic needs. Food production and processing, delivery of fresh water and medicines all require petrochemicals and fossil fuel energy.
In other words, the end of cheap oil means the end of everything we, industrial civilization, have grown accustomed to.
Within 50-100 years as a result of oil depletion, it is estimated the number of world population will be reduced less than 500 million from its current 6.4 billion. Basically, 90% of world population will not survive to see tomorrow.
Like any species on earth from bacteria to animals and to us, humans, when given access to an abundance of food(energy), all species follow the same pattern:
a rapid population increase followed by an even more rapid consumtion of resources which lead to resource exhaustion and in the end population decrease characterized by violence, war and sometimes cannibalism.
As I said, these were just informations of the first 21 pages of the book which contains 160 pages. In there, he talks about involvement of government and why they want to keep a secret from us, the truth behind war on terror etc.
You can read and ignore it, or you can read and learn from it, make your own research on the topic and be prepared. It is up to you.
Check out MAtt Savinar website on more information:
Whether you will buy or borrow it from the library, it is the book to read! "