Vladivostok is a good bet, considering China would like to have something from Russia. I would not underestimate Chechens and Tatars. I would not exclude someone neihbouring Russia attacking is as well. Azers, Georgians and Khazaks may have some apetite.
As an European I wonder what happens in Belarus as well. Since Russia is weak can we see some uprising again? I kinda hope Poland plays badass with Belarus. Duda has been awesome lately.
Chechens only after Kadyrov dies or if brib… I mean “subsidies” from Moscow dry up.
Tatars showed their cards in 1992 and there was is a thirty-year long effort to suppress their identity. Again, massive number of younger males getting killed off in Ukraine helps the suppression efforts.
The shitstorm will be started by ethnic Russians. Contrary to popular opinion, revolutions occur when part of the elite (or wannabe elites) sees more advantage in dismantling the system than participating in it.
air-launched ballistic missiles are not new technology.
The GAM-87 “Skybolt” air-launched ballistic missile was developed by the United States in the late 1950s, and hit top speeds of Mach 12, well in excess of the speeds the Kinzhal can reach. However, the project was ultimately canceled in 1962, when U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara assessed that the system provided very little benefit over the United States’ existing arsenal of land- and submarine-launched ballistic missiles.