Nice article by Kimberly Strassel covering some of Obama’s pivots and misstatements in foreign policy:
by Kimberly A. Strassel
The Obama Learning Curve
May 23, 2008; Page A13
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Joe Biden took to the airwaves this week to “help” the rookie Barack Obama out of a foreign-policy jam. Oh sure, admitted Mr. Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee had given the “wrong” answer when he said he’d meet unconditionally with leaders of rogue states. But on the upside, the guy “has learned a hell of a lot.”
Somewhere Mr. Obama was muttering an expletive. But give Mr. Biden marks for honesty. As Mr. Obama finishes a week of brutal questioning over his foreign-policy judgments, it’s become clear he has learned a lot ï¿½?? and is learning still.
Right now, for instance, he’s learning how tough it can be to pivot to a general-election stance on the crucial issue of foreign policy. He’s also learning Democrats won’t be able to sail through a national-security debate by simply painting John McCain as the second coming of George Bush.
Remember how Mr. Obama got here. In a July debate, the Illinois senator was asked if he’d meet, “without preconditions,” the “leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea.” It was an unexpected question, and Mr. Obama rolled with his gut: “I would,” he said, riffing that the Bush administration’s policy of not negotiating with terror-sponsoring states was “ridiculous.”
Hillary Clinton, who still had the aura of inevitability, and who was already thinking ahead to a general election, wouldn’t bite. At that point, any initial misgivings the Obama campaign had about the boss’s answer disappeared. Mr. Obama hadn’t got much traction differentiating himself from Mrs. Clinton over Iraq, but this was a chance to get to her left, to cast her to liberal primary voters as a warmonger. Which he did, often, committing himself ever more to a policy of unfettered engagement.
Today’s Obama, all-but-nominee, is pitching to a broad American audience less keen to legitimize Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who provides weapons that kill American soldiers. The senator clumsily invited this debate when he took great umbrage to President Bush’s recent criticism of appeasers (which, in a wonderfully revealing moment, Democrats instantly assumed meant them). Mr. Obama has since been scrambling to neutralize his former statement.
A week ago, in Oregon, he adopted the “no-big-deal” approach, telling listeners Iran was just a “tiny” country that, unlike the Soviet Union, did not “pose a serious threat to us.” But this suggested he’d missed that whole asymmetrical warfare debate ï¿½?? not to mention 9/11 ï¿½?? so by the next day, he’d switched to the “blame-Republicans” line. Iran was in fact “the greatest threat to the United States and Israel and the Middle East for a generation” ï¿½?? but all because of President Bush’s Iraq war.
This, however, revived questions of why he’d meet with said greatest-threat leader, so his advisers jumped in, this time to float the “misunderstood” balloon. Obama senior foreign policy adviser Susan Rice, channeling Bill Clinton, said it all depended on what the definition of a “leader” is. “Well, first of all, he said he’d meet with the appropriate Iranian leaders. He hasn’t named who that leader will be.” (Turns out, Mr. Obama has said he will meet with . . . Mr. Ahmadinejad.)
Former Sen. Tom Daschle, channeling Ms. Rice, explained it also depended on what the definition of a precondition is: “It’s important to emphasize again when we talk about preconditions, we’re just saying everything needs to be on the table. I would not say that we would meet unconditionally.” This is called being against preconditions before you were for them.
And so it goes, as Mr. Obama shifts and shambles, all the while telling audiences that when voting for president they should look beyond “experience” to “judgment.” In this case, whatever his particular judgment on Iran is on any particular day.
It wasn’t supposed to be this way. Democrats entered this race confident national security wouldn’t be the drag on the party it has in the past. With an unpopular war and a rival who supports that war, they planned to wrap Mr. McCain around the unpopular Mr. Bush and be done with it. Mr. Obama is still manfully marching down this road, today spending as much time warning about a “third Bush term” as he does reassuring voters about a first Obama one.
Then again, 9/11 and five years of Iraq debate have educated voters. Mr. McCain is certainly betting they can separate the war from the urgent threat of an Iranian dictator who could possess nukes, and whose legitimization would encourage other rogues in their belligerence. This is a debate the Arizonan has been preparing for all his life and, note, Iranian diplomacy is simply the topic du jour.
Mr. McCain has every intention of running his opponent through the complete foreign-policy gamut. Explain again in what circumstances you’d use nuclear weapons? What was that about invading Pakistan? How does a policy of engaging the world include Mr. Ahmadinejad, but not our ally Colombia and its trade pact?
It explains too the strong desire among the McCain camp to get Mr. Obama on stage for debates soon. There’s a feeling Mr. Obama is still climbing the foreign-policy learning curve. And they see mileage in his issuing a few more gut reactions.
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