I just glanced at the list of topics and didn’t see anything on this.
North Korea has made a threat of attcking U.S. with nuclear weapons. I know the regime over there is bat shit crazy and all, but they have sent a satalite into space by their own accounts and have nuclear cappabilties. I am not some person that believes nuclear war/winter is about to happen, but pretty bold and strong threats.
Do y’all think he(leader of north korea) is just talking shit, or are y’all concerned by this in anyway?[/quote]
It’s very unlikely that the North Koreans would have the ability to strike Hawaii, let alone D.C. They have the bomb and they have ICBM’s, but they are said to be years away from successfully fitting the former into the head of the latter. And even after that feat has been accomplished, the likelihood that a missile would arrive at its intended target without a hitch is minimal at best.
In that light, this mostly looks like the posturing, preening trash-talk of a fat little prick who wants to consolidate power by firing up the home crowd.
But, of course, those words coming from a nuclear power are nothing to scoff at. In the arena of nuclear diplomacy, much subtler language than that has been called incendiary.[/quote]
The people who say the NK’s can’t put a nuke on a missile don’t know what they are talking about. They are basing that theory on false assumptions that are not supported by the facts. Or in other words they have started with a false premise and then tried to use logic to proceed to a logical conclusion that is based upon a false premise.
The first of their false assumptions is that when the NK’s detonated their first device it was a first generation device like the fat man bomb that was detonated at Alamogordo and Nagasaki. They made this false assumption because it was only about one kiloton which they claimed was a fizzle yield. The problem is one kiloton is much too big for a fizzle yield of a fat man type device.
The people who are in the know say that it is much more likely that the NK’s were confident enough in their theoretical understanding of a big, heavy, first generation, fat man device that they skipped testing it and proceeded directly to the next step which is a miniaturized device for their first test. This theory is consistent with a one kiloton yield which would be a successful test of a miniaturized device that could be put on a missile.
It is also consistent with information that the Iranians have been working on a miniaturized design known as a two point implosion device. The way a two point works is instead of using a spherical core surrounded by multiple charges like a fat man which is large, the core is ellipsoid in shape so it only needs to be compressed from two ends using explosive mirrors.
The NK’s are claiming their latest test which yielded six kiloton’s was a miniaturized device. Which means they probably can put a bomb on a missile. The next step is they will probably try pickling an atomic warhead to create a first generation thermo-nuclear bomb. The maximum yield using that method is 300 kilotons.
The take away message is don’t underestimate them at all. [/quote]
Source this. None of the top FP information outlets support this, at all. [/quote]
The design of nuclear weapons has always fascinated me so I have spent more time than most people have studying them. This is information I have learned from reading multiple sources over many years. Such as this one.
This next one shows the progression of the various marks of atomic and nuclear weapons.
From what I have read for a first generation atomic bomb such as the mark 3 device that was dropped on Nagasaki a fizzle yield could not produce more than 0.66 kiloton. The first NK test was about one kiloton. That means it wasn’t a fizzle, but it was a low yield.
If they were confident they could make a mark 3 type device it would make perfect sense not to waste a lot of plutonium testing an undeliverable bomb. It makes a lot of sense to move on to miniaturization. First it would use less plutonium to test it, secondly it would produce a usable device. It’s the smartest way to proceed.
The theory that the NK’s went the exact same route as everyone else for their first test rests entirely on that first test being a fizzle. None of their test have been high yield but certainly not fizzles. The last test was 6-7 kilotons.