T Nation

NFL Football


#1

Everybody loves football right, so I decided to start a football post. Everybody give your picks before game time and we'll see who does the best. My picks for this week are:

Philadelphia Eagles +3
San Francisco 49ers +1
Detroit Lions +12.5
Dallas Cowboys +3

Lets hear the rest of your picks. Hey T-Mag, this is a good opportunity to give the winner each week a prize. Minimum 4 picks each week. Over/Unders are also exceptable. Must be against the spread.


#2

my picks are giants beat florida. chicago beats atl. boston beats a's. twins beat yanks. ill be back for the champ series.


#3

Tony,

Great idea; who wants to only pick four, though? I'll give you a few more than that:

Chiefs -3
Bears +4
49ers +1
Cardinals +10.5
Chargers/Raiders over 42
Titans +3
Pats +2.5 (hometown pick)


#4

Jets -3
Packers -4
San Diego +7
Cincy +4.5


#5

Whoa, P-Dog completely missed the point. Fortunately, he picked the Sox, so all is forgiven:)


#6

Hey, good choice on that 49ers pick. Ha, ha, ha!!! Vikings are for real this year. I think them and the Gophers have a bet to see who can be the last one to lose their first game.

It sure is good to be a football fan back in MN again!!


#7

Wow, looks like there are'nt a lot of gamblers on this site. Anyways, I had a good week. Personal training isn't paying much so its nice to see I can make some extra money when football season starts. Cant wait for basketball and hockey to start. San Fran was my only miss. Hey T-Mag do I get a T-shirt for going 3-1.


#8

Eric 4-2 not bad. Gives you a winning percentage of .666. My winning percentage is .750. I win. You still have your Monday nighter pending so we'll see how you do.


#9

Jb 2-1 with Monday nighter pending. Looks like we all had winning weeks. Hope you guys made as much money as I did.


#10

I actually wound up just under even; I put some cash down on SF and Arizona. With my wins with KC, Tennessee, and Philly, I was ahead. Unfortunately, I got a little greedy and bet the under in the Sunday Night game. No way Indy can put a ton of points on the board without James, eh? Wrong.


#11

Eric, putting any money on tonights game. I think Green Bay should bounce back, but I refuse to bet on any team coming off a bye week, even if that team is the Chicago Bears. Green Bay may win, but I dont know if they'll cover the 4 points.

Teams coming off bye week are 3-0 this week. Beware the Bears, even if its only for this week.


#12

Hey Eric, read your article on the rotator cuff. Nice piece, bro


#13

Tony,

Thanks!

I'm a sucker, so I always wind up putting at least a little on the Monday Night game to distract me while I'm studying. Plus, it really makes it interesting when two teams about which I couldn't care less are playing one another!

I don't dare bet against Chicago in the first game at the new stadium. Their fans are going to be fired up, and I know that Booker is really pissed off and anxious to get more involved in the offense. And, there's always the Urlacher factor. Lastly, after last week, I swore that I'd never bet on Favre again. I might tease the O/U with the spread so that the Bears only have to cover 10. Your thoughts?


#14

Tonytriceps, what you mean san fran was the only miss?

You thought detroit would beat denver?

Or am i missing something?

Man that colts/NO game last night was ugly all over. Could NO possibly play any worse than that?


#15

Antiliberal, I meant to take Detroit against the spread. The spread was Denver -12. Detroit only lost by 4, meaning they covered the spread and won me some money.

Eric, I might do the same. Chicago +10 and the over 35.5. Good teaser, but even still, Im not gonna put a big wager on this one.


#16

Tony, don't the real bookie spreads (or legal vegas ones) always change like any other large betting schemes?

AFAIK, the point of a spread (from the bookie/house standpoint) is not to guess how far the game will be won/lost by, but it's to encourage an even 50/50 betting split on both sides of the game. That way the bookie/house always makes his 10%+ cut.

So they are constantly adjusting that spread in order to even out the betting, right up until game time.

Or are you getting your spreads from some media outlet?


#17

I'm telling you, Tony, under 47.5 is a much better bet. Neither of these teams can score points, and Urlacher is going to kill everyone!!!!!


#18

Antiliberal,

Being that I was at the game, I have to agree with you on the saints. It was pitiful. Me and my friends left in the 3rd quarter. At least I have LSU to root for in football.


#19

Antiliberal you are right. The bookie always aims to get a 50/50 betting split, and that is the main reason for the spread. They always make their 10% juice. At the same time I dont know why you are questioning me. The spread on Denver was -12. It was at 12.5 and dropped half a point. I took Detroit and won. What the hell are you talking about.


#20

Tony, im not questioning your win anymore.

Just wondered aloud where you get the spread that doesnt move? I never realized that all media outlets post the same spreads?