I haven’t seen a whole lot of intelligent analysis about this fight yet. Well other than “GSP will crush him”, but that isn’t my idea of intelligent analysis.
Personally I think this will be Georges toughest test to date. Since the Serra fight Georges has turned into predominently a grappler. He stood up with Fitch for a bit, but Fitch has never been known as a striker and doesn’t have KO power. Obviously Georges’ best chance is to get it to the ground and GNP or submit Thiago. Alves, however, has good takedown defense (Koscheck couldn’t get him down) and for once Georges won’t be the bigger/stronger fighter in the ring.
If Georges can’t take it to the ground I think Alves will KO him. I do see Georges getting Thiago down and ending the fight by submission, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Alves pull off the win. Thoughts?