We are just talking about the primary. However, Florida is a critical “swing state” for both parties. Along with the PA, OH, WI, MI, VA, NC, IA, MO, NM, CO, NV, MO. The other states are either blue or red. Out of the crucial swing states that I’ve listed There are four really key states with the most electoral votes. Those are:
If you add up the numbers above that equals 83 electoral votes. All of the remaining swing states combined are a total of 64 electoral votes. That makes these four states the most crucial of the swing states and virtually assures that both parties will be dumping the most money in these four states. Now here is the key factor that no one is yet talking about. All of these call them “Crucial” swing states have republican governors!
There are a total of 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 270 wins the race. The red states equal a total 165 electoral votes. The blue states equal a total of 178 electoral votes. But here’s the catch, with Romney as the nominee Massachuetts then gets taken away from the blue state catagory and into the red state. So the republicans pick up 11 more electoral votes. Giving the republicans 176 electoral vote lock. If they pick up the four “crucial” states that I listed above 176 + 83 = 259 they are now only 11 electoral votes short of winning the Presidency. Throw in New Hampshire’s 4 votes, which will swing Romney’s way and we are up to 263. That means if they win MO, CO, or NC they’ve won the Presidency.
The above scenario is one more reason that we can win with Romney and much more difficult to win with any of the other candidates.
For example Santorum would never win Mass on his best day. And there are less than a handful of swing states
which can equal Massachusetts 11 electoral votes.
Electorally this is an uphill climb for Obama with Mitt Romney as the nominee![/quote]
Thanks for that analysis, Zeb!
It is working out to be a VERY interesting election year!
It really is far more interesting than the McCain fiasco four years ago. This is going to be a real horse race. Perhaps not on par with the Bush/Gore race of 2000, but certainly I don’t see a blow out coming in either direction. Do you Mufasa?