[quote]streamline wrote:
orion wrote:
stokedporcupine8 wrote:
orion wrote:
It is not as simple as that.
We can have no “sustainable economy”. Yes, we are using “fossile” fuels and yes, sooner or later we will run out of them.
This is also true for copper, zinc, etc.
Maybe we will mine the asteroid belt afterwards.
Anyway- If we not used them, what good would they be in the first place?
A “sustainable” economy is an agricultural economy on a subsistence level.
That is not an option.
We either grow and innovate or die.
By “sustainable” I don’t just mean in the sense that we never run out. Clearly in that sense no resource is truly sustainable. The problem isn’t just that sooner or later we will run out of oil and coal, the problem is that our level of consumption of these resources is both economically and environmentally unsustainable. By that I mean that our level of consumption of oil depends on the rest of the world not using as much oil as we do–for if they did demand would FAR outstrip supply–while if our consumption of coal was mirrored by the world, as China is starting to do, climate change issues would only get worse.
If we don’t use them what good will they be? I never said we shouldn’t use them at all. But if we continue to use them like we have been what will the earth be like in 1000 years? On the environmental issue your guess is as good as mine, but we do know that burning all the coal on the planet and emitting all that CO2 isn’t a good idea. I also can assure you that at at current rate of usage no oil will be left in 1000 years.
As for either “innovate or die”, this is true. Why then not innovate and develop better more sustainable sources of energy? I fail to see how working on non-fossil fuel based energy sources constitutes death–it seems like needed innovation to me.
Well then there is the question how we go about such a thing.
Already rising oil prices have led to innovations like filtering oil out of sand, artificial oil, the liquification of coal (actually invented by the IG Farben, pre WWII) etc.
But in a foreseeable future that will not amke economical sense either and someone will make a killing figuring out how do replace “fossile” energies.
Since we all do not know what these alternatives will be, why hinder the creative forces of the market to find solutions by controlling every step of the way?
I do noit think that governments should have a horse in this race, this just leads to corn subsidy desasters.
You are talking about the “Human Predicament”. This Has been written and debated for hundreds of years. A time when the population growth exceeds our ability to sustain it. Since we need sustenance to exist and the population has never diminished. The human race was in the past and is predicted to in the future, lack the means the sustain it’s population.
Obviously we have been able to over come those of the past. I believe we will also over come these predicaments in the future. I am not as worried about our ability to survive as I am about the quality of the life. Presently those of us living in developed parts of the world are enjoying a standard on living that surpasses that of Kings in the past. As in the past there is a period of time the human race suffers greatly from it inability to sustain it’s self. Before the problem of sustainability it solved.
I would hope that as an educated population we will get our heads out of our collective asses and solve the problem before it occurs. We have the knowledge to do this. What we don’t have is the collective desire to accomplish the task before it becomes a problem. This I believe is the bases of the “Human Predicament”. We are not doomed to extinction, but we will create massive problems that we will need to overcome to prevent it. Suffering appears to be in our nature. It makes for good bedtime stories.
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Why would we want to solve a problem before it becomes a problem?
The world is full of problems right now that need solving-
Also, by damaging the economy we are actually crippling our problem solving ability.
Plus, and this really pisses me off, there seem to be people out there who just KNOW that solar power or wind power are is the answer and are willing to spend billings of other people´s money on the development of such energies.
What if tomorrow some smart kid discovers cold fusion and all that money was wasted?
There is a big difference whether some entrepreneur risks his own money or whether bureaucrats who just KNOW coerce it out of an unwilling populace.