[quote]The United States will face negative consequences with Iraq, the region and beyond which would include:
- Anarchy and the territorial breakup of Iraq;
- Region-threatening instability in key Arab states;
- A surge of global terrorism against US interests fueled by (militant) Islamism;
- Major oil supply disruptions and severe strains in the Atlantic Alliance.
These should have been very sobering reports, says Michael O’Hanlon, military analyst at the Brookings Institution. The administration should have taken them very serious in preparing plans for a difficult post-Saddam period. And yet the administration did not do so.
William Harlow, part of Tenet’s senior intelligence staff and co-author with Tenet on his book, added: Although the intelligence got the WMD case in Iraq wrong, it got the dangers of a post-invasion Iraq quite right. They raised serious questions about what would face U.S. troops in a post invasion Iraq. The intelligence laid out a number of issues of concern. It’s unclear if administration officials paid any attention to those concerns.
It is likely that Democrats and Republicans on the Hill will question how the administration could have predicted a short, easy war given these warnings and why it has taken more four years for them to surface.[/quote]