The travel ban has little basis in reality. If this is more infectious than delta, it’s going to spread around
Hell, omnicron cases have already been found in
Chances are it has already been spreading around for a while. A travel ban is hasty, stupid and won’t do shit. Update quarantine protocals…
Hopefully (fingers crossed) this variant is highly infectious albeit less deadly. Then we can transition to endemic stage
However there is little in the way (I believe) in terms of selective pressure for covid to become less burdensome on hospitals. Remember… In some countries (happened in Aus around five years ago) a bad flu season can shut down hospitals.
Covid has a long presymptomatic period wherein the individual can still transmit the virus. The R eff is off the charts for delta. Without vaccines it’s like 1:6, with them it’s still typically above 1 unless draconian restrictions are put in place and/or a large portion of the population catches it. Look at Sweden for reference, high level of natural immunity + vaccination = they’re not having a surge like most of europe
Though as of current they are experiencing a rise in infections
… I’m starting to wonder whether some of the surge Europe is experiencing may be related to the new variant
Those who I know (who know a lot about this) have told me that while possible, it is unlikely as at least one country would have probably picked up on the prevalence of a new variant.