RE: USC (6-1)
The best SC can realistically hope for at this point is the Rose Bowl.
Technically, I guess it's still possible that nearly every team in the Top 10 dumps a game, but that's almost what it would take for USC to climb back into the National Title picture.
RE: Florida (7-1)
They're a good team, but until they find a rushing attack (that actually involves a, you know, running back), they're primed for an upset. They could run the table, but I honestly don't expect it.
RE: Auburn (8-1)
Last couple of weeks, Auburn has flat out stunk on offense. They're going to need to actually score some points if they want to run the table. They're in the same boat as Florida, IMO. They could run the table, but I expect them to lose at least once more before bowl season.
RE: Tennessee (7-1)
They look solid all around, and their only loss was by one single point to Florida, but they have a very tough game tomorrow vs. LSU (5-2). I think they would have a shot to run the table, but I'll wait until they play LSU before I venture a guess. They also need Florida to lose again if they want a shot at the SEC title.
RE: Texas (8-1)
Very solid team from top to bottom, but I don't think Texas has the horses to beat any of the other elite teams this year (fire up tape of the Texas-Ohio State game in September to see what I mean). They'll likely finish the regular season 12-1, but I don't think they'll make it to the BCS title game. They're already behind multiple other one-loss teams in the BCS rankings.
RE: Ohio St. (9-0) /Michigan (9-0)
Simple. Winner goes to the BCS title game, loser goes to the Rose Bowl.
RE: WVU (8-1)/ Louisville (8-0)/ Rutgers (8-0)
If I had to guess, I'd say that Louisville will finish the season unbeaten and play in the BCS Title game. WVU is finished, and if Louisville or Rutgers loses a game, they'll join WVU in the scrap heap. If Rutgers finishes unbeaten, I think they'll be passed over in favor of another team for hte BCS title game. Life ain't fair.
My guesses at this point:
IF UL finishes unbeaten then: Ohio St./ Michigan winner VS. Lousiville.
IF UL loses then: Ohio St./ Michigan winner VS. Texas/ Florida/ Auburn/ Tennessee/ Arkansas (7-1)/ USC/ Cal (7-1)/ ND (7-1) survivor.
Games that will decide the matter:
(Auburn or Arkansas) VS. (Florida or Tennessee) -- SEC Title game
Ohio St. VS. Michigan
USC VS. Cal
USC VS. ND
Louisville VS. Rutgers
West Virginia VS. Rutgers
Tennessee VS. Arkansas
Games already played that will matter:
USC beat Arkansas*^
Ohio St. beat Texas*^
Florida beat Tennessee*
Arkansas beat Auburn*^
Louisville beat West Virginia^
Michigan beat Notre Dame*^
Tennessee beat Cal^
*Game was won on the road
^Game was won by at least 17 points, except for UL, who beat WVU by 11.
In a nutshell, there's a TON of football left to be played, and if Louisville loses a game, all hell will break loose over who will face the OSU/UM winner in the BCS title game.
This is shaping up to the be the craziest and most exciting November in recent College Football history.